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Predictions
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50/50
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
Yes
No
US$25m Vol.
31 Dec 2026
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Yes
No
US$16m Vol.
01 Jan 2027
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
Yes
No
US$43m Vol.
01 Apr 2027
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
Yes
No
US$39m Vol.
31 Dec 2026
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
Yes
No
US$18m Vol.
01 Jan 2027
Iran leadership change by...?
Yes
No
US$28m Vol.
01 Jul 2027
Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?
Yes
No
US$1m Vol.
04 Nov 2026
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
Yes
No
US$77m Vol.
01 Jan 2027
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?
Yes
No
US$2m Vol.
04 Nov 2026
US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?
Yes
No
US$2m Vol.
30 Nov 2026
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
Yes
No
US$2m Vol.
01 Jan 2027
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?
Yes
No
US$1m Vol.
04 Nov 2026
